Where is Commercial Real Estate Headed?
by Neil A. Dolgin Welcome to 2023 and the questions that are on everyone’s mind: Will we have recession? Will it hit hard? Will there be a soft landing? Economists expect economic growth to slow this year, and we will narrowly avoid a recession. Wherever I turn, however, everyone has their own point of view. … Read more »
Commercial Real Estate Pricing Growth Slows to Pace Not Seen Since 2020
U.S. commercial property price growth slowed in November to an annualized pace not seen for more than two years, according to MSCI Real Assets. The RCA CPPI National All-Property Index rose 4.9% from a year ago and fell 0.4% from October, representing an annualized decline of 4.6%. The industrial index maintained its spot as the… Read more »
What Would It Take to Turn More Offices Into Housing?
There’s about 998 million square feet of office real estate across the United States that’s available but in search of a tenant. That’s thousands of old cubicles, conference rooms, pantries and cafeterias sitting in ghostly quiet. That’s a vast amount of empty space — nearly 13 percent of the market — that could be turned… Read more »
The party is over in commercial real estate. Here’s what to expect in 2023.
An era of cheap debt that helped lift prices on hotels, office buildings and other U.S. commercial properties to dizzying new heights has ended. Borrowers thirsty for financing have watched mortgage rates roughly double in 2022 from the 3% lows, spillover from the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight that could cost several million people their jobs…. Read more »
New York City Comptroller Brad Lander Releases Annual Report on the State of the City’s Economy and Finances
New York City Comptroller Brad Lander released the annual “State of the City’s Economy and Finances” report. This report provides an analysis of the City’s fiscal health and position ahead of the annual budget process, which begins early in the new year. Despite higher-than-usual uncertainty, major indicators including strong job growth point toward continued economic… Read more »
More Turbulence Expected for NYC’s Real Estate Market in 2023
After a less than stellar 2022 for the New York City real estate market, the new year isn’t expected to bring much relief for landlords. An economic slowdown, rising interest rates and remote work will continue to weaken office leasing and are expected to cause the value of real estate sales to drop 15.9 percent… Read more »
2023 Outlook on Commercial Real Estate
The 2023 commercial real estate outlook indicates there may be challenges ahead. Retail is at a crossroads, and the future of office space is unclear. Plus, supply chain issues persist, and inflation is near 40-year highs, prompting the Fed to steadily increase interest rates. But there are a few bright spots in the commercial real… Read more »
What’s in Store for Commercial Real Estate
The 2023 commercial real estate outlook indicates there may be challenges ahead. Retail is at a crossroads, and the future of office space is unclear. Plus, supply chain issues persist, and inflation is near 40-year highs, prompting the Fed to steadily increase interest rates. But there are a few bright spots in the commercial real… Read more »
Are Investors Pulling Money Out of REITS
While specific segments of the commercial real estate (CRE) market such as industrial and healthcare are performing well, others like office and retail are alarming investors. Rising interest rates are heightening those concerns. In response, investors are actively reducing their exposure to the CRE market. According to The Wall Street Journal, real estate investment trusts… Read more »
Medical office sector maintains high demand as other commercial real estate sectors struggle
Health care real estate is viewed as a stable asset among investors Despite commercial real estate challenges that started during the pandemic, the medical office sector remains one of the most resilient and a favorite for investors, according to JLL’s Healthcare and Medical Office Perspective report. Absorption has outpaced new supply and occupancy has remained… Read more »
Fed’s Rate Hikes Aren’t Bulldozing Commercial Real Estate— Yet
The Federal Reserve’s announcement of another 0.75 percentage point interest rate increase continues the central bank’s grim war with inflation. Higher rates are doing damage across the economy, which has never stabilized after the Covid-19 shock. But commercial real estate, vital to cities’ economic and fiscal well-being, hasn’t taken a big hit—yet. Ever-higher interest rates… Read more »
Real Estate Makes Up Larger Share Of NYC’s Tax Revenue Even Amid Value Reset
Real estate taxes have steadily become a larger and larger part of New York tax collections over the last eight years as the city faces a fiscal crisis. In the financial year ending 2021, real estate-related taxes made up 54.1% of tax collections, up from an average of 51.9% between 2015 and 2018, according to… Read more »
Commercial Property Prices are Down 13 Percent Due to Higher Interest Rates
The impact of higher interest rates is beginning to take its toll on commercial real estate prices. Commercial property prices have fallen nearly 13 percent so far this year, according to Green Street’s Commercial Property Price Index in October. The Index reports that commercial real estate prices were down 7.3 percent alone in October. The… Read more »
Commercial Real Estate Rentals Are Heating Up
by Neil A. Dolgin This year has been a challenging one for building owners because of high inflation, rising interest rates and the increasing costs of doing business in New York City. It’s been an even tougher one for owners of vacant buildings who tried to sell their properties on the high side and waited… Read more »
Multifamily, Development, Industrial Trades Push Brooklyn’s Investment Sales To $5.56 Billion
Investment dollars poured into Brooklyn’s commercial real estate market in the first six months of the year, accounting for a quarter of the $22 billion in commercial property sales across New York City in 1H 2022, second only to Manhattan which saw 53% of the city’s dollar volume. The dollar volume in Brooklyn totaled $5.56… Read more »
A radical new ploy to lure Google and other firms to Brooklyn
When apartment landlords have empty units, they lure prospective tenants with cheaper rents and free perks. Office landlords haven’t historically offered such grand concessions to fill vacant square footage — until now. The New York City real-estate developer Rubenstein Partners is willing to offer a nearly 50% discount on rent and more flexible terms than… Read more »